The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois St Redbirds v Evansville Purple Aces

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois St Redbirds (Local)

Prediction 78.45%1.27fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -19.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%78.47%78.48%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.211.2284.75%83.07%82.99%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)

Prediction 21.55%4.64fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -0.863%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.53%21.52%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.344.354.5023.81%23.02%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois St Redbirds (Local): 78.45%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 21.55%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -3.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.29%E -3.52%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.10%E -0.921%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.29%E -3.52%K -19.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.17%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 20:10
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.08%E -4.20%K -24.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.41%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.08%E -4.20%K -24.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.41%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.86%E -4.88%K -29.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.17%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.86%E -4.88%K -29.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.49%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 17:25
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.65%E -5.58%K -34.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.33%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 20:30
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.43%E -6.30%K -41.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.02%E -0.671%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-03-14 20:55