The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Minnesota Golden Gophers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 35.98%2.78fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +0.810%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%35.77%36.00%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.642.652.8239.22%37.86%37.74%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit)

Prediction 64.02%1.56fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.23%64.00%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5371.43%68.08%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 35.98%; Minnesota Golden Gophers (Visit): 64.02%. For Illinois Fighting Illini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV +1.47%E +0.523%K +0.810%G +0.012%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 17:05
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.18%E -4.95%K -15.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 17:54
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.82%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 17:54
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -4.64%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 17:54
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.70%E -1.77%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 16:19
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.44%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.98%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.05%E -1.34%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 16:30
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.24%E -3.23%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.90%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-03-01 18:55