The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Illinois Fighting Illini v Colorado Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prediction 60.19%1.66fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%60.22%59.95%61.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.581.6264.94%63.17%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 39.81%2.51fair odd
EV +0.310%
Edge +0.123%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.24%39.78%40.05%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.392.372.5243.48%41.93%42.28%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 60.19%; Colorado Buffaloes (Visit): 39.81%. For Colorado Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.310%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.10%E -3.91%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +0.310%E +0.123%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.8%2026-03-22 01:05
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 03:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.48%E -1.01%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 01:15
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.48%E -1.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.47%E -1.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 21:44
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.70%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.26%E -2.21%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:14
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.69%E -2.31%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:44
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.69%E -2.31%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:44
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.30%E -4.74%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.46%E -2.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 11:44
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.09%E -1.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 21:44
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.49%E -3.50%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.45%E -3.67%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-22 01:25
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-03-22 01:24