The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Idaho Vandals v Montana St Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Idaho Vandals (Local)

Prediction 35.04%2.85fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +2.56%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.69%35.23%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.702.653.0038.46%36.98%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montana St Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 64.96%1.54fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%65.31%64.77%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%68.97%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Idaho Vandals (Local): 35.04%; Montana St Bobcats (Visit): 64.96%. For Idaho Vandals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +5.11%E +1.70%K +2.56%G +0.131%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -9.05%E -6.47%K -22.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 20:34
FanDuel🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.00%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.75%E -5.46%K -18.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.21%E -2.15%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.56%E -1.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 19:55
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.80%E -4.00%K -12.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 20:35
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.10%E -4.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 20:35
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.90%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.45%E -4.48%K -14.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-03-11 20:55