Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 16:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 67.43%1.48fair odd

EV -3.57%

Edge -2.50%

Kelly -8.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.67%67.89%67.44%70.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.381.401.4375.19%72.33%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd

EV +2.59%

Edge +0.821%

Kelly +1.20%

Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.69%32.11%32.56%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.982.953.1535.71%33.51%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 67.43%; Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Visit): 32.57%. For Lehigh Mountain Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -9.64%E -7.19%K -28.35%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +2.59%E +0.821%K +1.20%G +0.031%	6.4%	2026-03-15 16:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -9.64%E -7.19%K -28.35%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +2.59%E +0.821%K +1.20%G +0.031%	6.4%	2026-03-15 16:05
BetRivers🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -10.31%E -7.75%K -31.25%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV +2.59%E +0.821%K +1.20%G +0.031%	6.9%	2026-03-15 16:05
BetMGM🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.57%E -2.50%K -8.30%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-15 16:01
Fanatics🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.25%E -2.99%K -10.11%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.93%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-15 15:59
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.56%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-15 16:00
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -8.16%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-15 16:05
Fliff🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.59%E -4.00%K -13.98%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-15 16:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%	3.9%	2026-03-15 16:05