Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hofstra Pride v Elon Phoenix

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hofstra Pride (Local)

Prediction 35.89%2.79fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%35.89%35.89%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.602.632.6540.00%38.43%38.02%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elon Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 64.11%1.56fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -7.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%64.11%64.11%64.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.461.451.5069.44%68.40%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hofstra Pride (Local): 35.89%; Elon Phoenix (Visit): 64.11%. For Elon Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -3.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.84%E -2.56%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 19:28
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.60%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.05%E -4.86%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 15:55
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.60%E -2.13%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 15:55
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.68%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.69%E -5.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 15:54
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.26%E -4.11%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.12%E -3.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.8%2026-02-27 22:30