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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (Local): 76.66%; Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit): 23.34%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -7.25%E -5.99%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV +1.08%E +0.249%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 5.7% | 2026-11-13 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.25%E -5.99%K -34.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.29%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-13 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.41%E -2.71%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -13.63%E -3.68%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-13 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.11%E -0.863%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -18.30%E -5.23%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-11-13 19:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06% | -0.3% | 2026-11-13 20:55 |