Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.06
assuming max odds 11.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grand Canyon Antelopes (Local): 91.50%; Utah State Aggies (Visit): 8.50%. For Utah State Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 11.50, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.01%E -2.84%K -50.21%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -27.73%E -3.26%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.93%E -3.74%K -78.55%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -2.22%E -0.193%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.84%E -4.66%K -121.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.48%E -0.589%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.61%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.22%E -0.193%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.61%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.22%E -0.193%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.61%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -2.22%E -0.193%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 03:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.26%EV -6.67%E -6.54%K -333.61%G +0.000% | 10.65I 9.39%NM 8.74%EV -9.45%E -0.887%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 03:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 03:35 |