Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 60.91%1.64fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%61.10%60.35%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.501.5967.57%65.36%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 39.09%2.56fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.90%39.65%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.452.6543.48%40.58%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local): 60.91%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 39.09%. For Oregon St Beavers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.64%E -5.76%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.60%E +1.36%K +2.18%G +0.078%4.4%2026-03-10 19:59
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.312%E -0.123%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.312%E -0.123%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.86%E -6.66%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.312%E -0.123%K -0.202%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:00
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -9.25%E -6.21%K -18.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -4.22%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.39%E -2.23%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.59%E -3.61%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.74%E -3.28%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.13%E -3.46%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.16%E -1.99%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.09%E -4.39%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-03-10 20:01