Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets v Louisville Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local)

Prediction 7.83%12.77fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.153%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.34%7.86%7.90%8.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0011.8812.0013.009.09%8.42%8.33%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisville Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 92.17%1.08fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -64.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.44%92.14%92.10%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.031.0598.04%96.99%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 7.83%; Louisville Cardinals (Visit): 92.17%. For Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +1.84%E +0.141%K +0.153%G +0.003%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.15%E -3.99%K -103.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 17:20
Caesars🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.84%E +0.141%K +0.153%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.07%E -4.92%K -168.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 15:59
DraftKings🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -6.00%E -0.500%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.23%E -3.07%K -64.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 15:59
BetMGM🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.00%E -0.500%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.15%E -3.99%K -103.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 20:54
theScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.00%E -0.500%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.07%E -4.92%K -168.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 16:40
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.00%E -0.500%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 16:10
Fliff🎯11.80I 8.47%NM 7.96%EV -7.56%E -0.641%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.04%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 20:59
Unibet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.83%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.07%E -4.92%K -168.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 18:15
Bally Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.83%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.07%E -4.92%K -168.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 18:15
BetRivers🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -13.83%E -1.26%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%3.2%2026-02-26 22:05
Novig12.35I 8.10%NM 7.49%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.51%8.1%2026-02-26 18:30