Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Local): 63.40%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 36.60%. For Florida St Seminoles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:47 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.27%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.04%E -2.77%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.07%E -5.57%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 16:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.07%E -5.57%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |