Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Southern Eagles v James Madison Dukes

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Southern Eagles (Local)

Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.962%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.13%34.13%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.792.802.8537.04%35.84%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

James Madison Dukes (Visit)

Prediction 65.87%1.52fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -9.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%65.87%65.87%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.411.4571.43%70.42%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Southern Eagles (Local): 34.13%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 65.87%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -2.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.78%E -5.55%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 15:50
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.78%E -5.55%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 15:50
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 15:34
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.78%E -5.55%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -6.49%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -6.46%E -4.55%K -15.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:29
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.48%E -3.09%K -9.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.09%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.91%2.9%2026-03-08 16:24