The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Georgia Bulldogs v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgia Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.03%29.62%29.59%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.193.203.3032.26%31.36%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 70.45%1.42fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -11.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.51%70.38%70.41%70.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.341.331.3675.76%74.57%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgia Bulldogs (Local): 29.55%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 70.45%. For Georgia Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -2.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.47%E -0.749%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 16:00
Caesars🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 15:58
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 15:59
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 16:00
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 16:00
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 16:00
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 16:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.19%E -3.08%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 16:00
Fliff🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.31%E -4.74%K -19.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 30.99%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.01%9.8%2026-03-05 16:00