Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas v DePaul Blue Demons

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas (Local)

Prediction 87.69%1.14fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -24.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.41%87.61%88.12%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.1195.24%93.07%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

DePaul Blue Demons (Visit)

Prediction 12.31%8.13fair odd
EV +10.76%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.145%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.39%11.88%14.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.687.509.0015.38%13.02%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgetown Hoyas (Local): 87.69%; DePaul Blue Demons (Visit): 12.31%. For DePaul Blue Demons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.05%E -6.65%K -117.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +10.76%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.145%5.5%2026-03-01 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.29%E -4.90%K -66.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +4.61%E +0.542%K +0.614%G +0.028%4.4%2026-03-01 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.92%E -7.54%K -158.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +4.61%E +0.542%K +0.614%G +0.028%7.0%2026-03-01 17:39
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.83%EV -7.05%E -6.65%K -117.42%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.17%EV -5.85%E -0.765%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.17%E -5.76%K -88.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 18:54
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.17%E -5.76%K -88.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 18:54
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.17%E -5.76%K -88.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.66%E -2.40%K -24.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -20.01%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 18:59
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.54%E -3.22%K -35.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -20.01%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 89.21%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%1.9%2026-03-01 19:00