Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgetown Hoyas (Local): 64.01%; Butler Bulldogs (Visit): 35.99%. For Butler Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.16%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -9.10%E -6.41%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +6.16%E +2.09%K +3.16%G +0.195% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.18%E -4.95%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -5.90%E -4.01%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.77%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.62%E -3.10%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.62%E -3.10%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.26%E -3.55%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.18%E -4.95%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.23%E -3.23%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.42%E -0.922%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -13.63%E -5.68%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |