Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs v Winthrop Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 47.47%2.11fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.47%47.47%47.47%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.971.971.971.9850.76%50.68%50.76%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winthrop Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 52.53%1.90fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%52.53%52.53%52.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.791.791.7956.18%55.97%55.87%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Local): 47.47%; Winthrop Eagles (Visit): 52.53%. For Winthrop Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -5.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.02%E -3.04%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.49%E -3.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.97%E -3.33%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.49%E -3.29%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.49%E -3.65%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%6.0%2026-03-05 19:00