The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno St Bulldogs v New Mexico Lobos

2026-11-12 02:30 UTC — WNCAAB

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 64.81%1.54fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -4.16%
Kelly -13.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.81%64.81%64.81%64.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.451.451.4568.97%68.97%68.97%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Mexico Lobos (Visit)

Prediction 35.19%2.84fair odd
EV -6.03%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -3.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.19%35.19%35.19%35.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.672.672.6737.45%37.45%37.45%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fresno St Bulldogs (Local): 64.81%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 35.19%. For New Mexico Lobos (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.67, with an expected value of -6.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.03%E -2.26%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-11 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.03%E -2.26%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-11 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-11-11 18:45
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.50%9.0%2026-11-11 18:40

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.