The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Fresno St Bulldogs v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fresno St Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 64.03%1.56fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -7.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.02%64.03%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.471.471.5068.97%67.87%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%35.98%35.97%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.642.632.7038.46%37.95%38.02%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fresno St Bulldogs (Local): 64.03%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 35.97%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.67%E -1.76%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.96%E -2.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.24%E -3.54%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.87%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 01:04
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -6.52%E -4.47%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 01:05
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.39%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.16%E -4.94%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.47%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%3.0%2026-03-08 01:04