Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Int'l Golden Panthers v Missouri St Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Int'l Golden Panthers (Local)

Prediction 38.77%2.58fair odd
EV +0.016%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.63%38.44%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.402.5843.48%41.30%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri St Bears (Visit)

Prediction 61.23%1.63fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%61.37%61.56%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.551.5968.97%65.25%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Int'l Golden Panthers (Local): 38.77%; Missouri St Bears (Visit): 61.23%. For Florida Int'l Golden Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.5796. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.5800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.016%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV +0.016%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -9.99%E -6.79%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 01:04
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -1.15%E -0.450%K -0.740%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.21%E -7.73%K -24.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 01:04
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.09%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.15%E -5.43%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:04
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.31%E -4.13%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:04
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.64%E -1.66%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:59
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -10.06%E -4.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -3.25%E -2.06%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 01:05
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -10.06%E -4.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 01:04
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.86%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-14 01:04