The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Florida Gators v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Gators (Local)

Prediction 50.87%1.97fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.48%51.20%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.831.831.9159.17%54.53%54.50%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 49.13%2.04fair odd
EV +5.62%
Edge +2.62%
Kelly +4.89%
Growth +0.275%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%48.52%48.80%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.922.1553.48%51.65%51.95%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Gators (Local): 50.87%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 49.13%. For Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -14.03%E -8.30%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +5.62%E +2.62%K +4.89%G +0.275%5.7%2026-03-04 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.89%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 17:29
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.39%E -3.48%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 18:14
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -5.18%E -2.69%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.68%E -2.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.17%E -3.23%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 16:39
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 18:25
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.13%E -4.35%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-04 18:20