Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Atlantic Owls (Local)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd

EV -2.95%

Edge -1.21%

Kelly -2.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.44%39.61%39.61%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.312.282.4544.44%43.33%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 60.39%1.66fair odd

EV -3.38%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -5.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.59%60.39%60.39%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.581.591.6065.36%63.37%62.89%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Atlantic Owls (Local): 39.61%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 60.39%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -2.95%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.95%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.35%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-24 23:59
Unibet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.69%E -4.25%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-24 23:59
Bally Bet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.69%E -4.25%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-24 23:59
BetRivers🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -9.69%E -4.25%K -7.57%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-25 00:00
Fliff🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -10.88%E -4.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-24 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%	4.2%	2026-02-25 00:00