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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.28
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: East Carolina Pirates (Local): 57.92%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 42.08%. For Liberty Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.28, with an expected value of -4.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-07 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.43%E -2.68%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-11-07 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.17%E -3.81%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.17%E -2.77%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-11-07 22:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.71% | 9.0% | 2026-11-07 22:05 |
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