The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Duke Blue Devils v Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 66.51%1.50fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -9.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.35%66.51%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4471.43%70.42%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit)

Prediction 33.49%2.99fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.618%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%33.65%33.49%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.802.802.9538.17%35.69%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 66.51%; Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit): 33.49%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.23%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.55%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:14
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.23%E -2.93%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:50
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.89%E -3.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.55%E -1.60%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 16:13
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.56%E -3.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.20%E -0.408%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 16:14
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.56%E -3.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.23%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:19
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.23%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:45
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.23%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:44
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.22%E -4.41%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.90%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.89%E -4.92%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.23%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-07 16:54