Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duke Blue Devils (Local)

Prediction 85.91%1.16fair odd

EV -3.78%

Edge -3.37%

Kelly -31.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.17%86.02%86.72%88.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.091.091.1293.46%91.53%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 14.09%7.10fair odd

EV +12.71%

Edge +1.59%

Kelly +1.82%

Growth +0.231%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.80%13.98%13.28%15.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.906.917.138.0016.95%14.48%14.04%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duke Blue Devils (Local): 85.91%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 14.09%. For Clemson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.10. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.36%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.71%E +1.59%K +1.82%G +0.231%	6.0%	2026-03-06 16:00
Unibet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.20%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +5.67%E +0.756%K +0.872%G +0.049%	5.9%	2026-03-06 16:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.22%E -6.68%K -90.20%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +5.67%E +0.756%K +0.872%G +0.049%	5.9%	2026-03-06 16:00
DraftKings🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.14%E +0.296%K +0.343%G +0.007%	3.9%	2026-03-06 16:00
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.08%E -7.55%K -115.36%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.38%E -0.197%K -0.230%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-03-06 16:00
Fliff🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.50%E -5.00%K -54.98%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -14.06%E -2.30%K -2.76%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-06 16:00
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.78%E -3.37%K -31.50%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.47%E -2.58%K -3.09%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-06 16:00
FanDuel🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -4.64%E -4.18%K -42.17%G +0.000%	5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -16.88%E -2.86%K -3.44%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-06 16:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%	6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%	2.7%	2026-03-06 16:00