Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drexel Dragons v Hofstra Pride

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drexel Dragons (Local)

Prediction 73.91%1.35fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -10.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.32%74.21%73.92%76.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.261.261.3181.30%79.13%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hofstra Pride (Visit)

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.98%25.79%26.08%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.713.633.9028.17%26.94%27.59%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drexel Dragons (Local): 73.91%; Hofstra Pride (Visit): 26.09%. For Hofstra Pride (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.35%E -6.74%K -34.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +1.75%E +0.449%K +0.604%G +0.011%6.3%2026-03-14 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -8.35%E -6.74%K -34.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +1.75%E +0.449%K +0.604%G +0.011%6.3%2026-03-14 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -9.09%E -7.39%K -39.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV +1.75%E +0.449%K +0.604%G +0.011%6.9%2026-03-14 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.87%E -5.46%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 20:30
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.18%E -2.43%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 20:35
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.92%E -3.01%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.13%E -4.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.08%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 20:29
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.87%E -5.46%K -26.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 81.68%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.32%3.8%2026-03-14 20:35