Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Fullerton Titans v CSU Northridge Matadors

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

CSU Fullerton Titans (Local)

Prediction 70.87%1.41fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -12.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.00%70.87%70.87%73.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.311.321.3578.74%76.22%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit)

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV +0.500%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%29.13%29.13%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.4531.75%30.30%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CSU Fullerton Titans (Local): 70.87%; CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit): 29.13%. For CSU Northridge Matadors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.500%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -10.00%E -7.87%K -37.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +0.500%E +0.145%K +0.204%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-11 18:59
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.45%E -4.89%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 19:00
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.45%E -4.89%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.87%E -6.05%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.33%E -3.20%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-11 19:00