Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Buffaloes v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

74%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 74.14%1.35fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -2.20%

Kelly -9.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.58%74.07%73.74%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.241.271.251.3180.65%78.86%79.68%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd

EV +3.44%

Edge +0.860%

Kelly +1.15%

Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.81%25.93%26.26%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.713.754.0030.30%26.95%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Buffaloes (Local): 74.14%; Utah Utes (Visit): 25.86%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.58%E -5.23%K -25.32%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +3.44%E +0.860%K +1.15%G +0.039%	4.4%	2026-02-24 17:45
Caesars🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.33%E -5.86%K -29.30%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.44%E +0.860%K +1.15%G +0.039%	5.0%	2026-02-24 21:13
Unibet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.07%E -6.51%K -33.61%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.437%E -0.114%K -0.153%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-24 22:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -8.07%E -6.51%K -33.61%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -0.437%E -0.114%K -0.153%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-24 22:44
BetRivers🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.07%E -6.51%K -33.61%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.73%E -0.455%K -0.618%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-24 23:49
Fliff🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.07%E -6.51%K -33.61%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.32%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-02-24 22:45
Fanatics🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.62%E -2.78%K -12.06%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.61%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-24 22:40
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.88%E -2.20%K -9.28%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-24 17:25
FanDuel🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -4.36%E -3.38%K -15.03%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -13.37%E -3.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-24 23:04
theScore Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.20%K -9.28%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -14.66%E -4.44%K -6.37%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-24 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%	1.9%	2026-02-25 01:50
Novig◎	1.02I 98.04%NM 76.82%	3.38I 29.59%NM 23.18%	27.6%	2026-02-24 23:05