Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

13%

87%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clemson Tigers (Local)

Prediction 13.37%7.48fair odd

EV +1.63%

Edge +0.215%

Kelly +0.247%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 7.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.63%13.57%13.53%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.256.896.757.6016.00%14.52%14.81%13.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 86.63%1.15fair odd

EV -2.11%

Edge -1.87%

Kelly -16.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.69%86.43%86.47%87.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.091.091.1393.46%91.46%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clemson Tigers (Local): 13.37%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 86.63%. For Clemson Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +1.63%E +0.215%K +0.247%G +0.004%	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.71%E -4.28%K -47.10%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-22 18:30
FanDuel🎯	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%EV -1.04%E -0.141%K -0.163%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%EV -7.31%E -6.83%K -104.41%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-22 17:39
DraftKings🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.39%E -0.913%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.84%E -3.46%K -34.94%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-02-22 16:35
theScore Bet🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -6.39%E -0.913%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.44%E -5.97%K -80.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-22 16:39
Unibet🎯	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.74%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -61.96%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-22 18:00
Bally Bet🎯	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -9.74%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -61.96%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-02-22 18:00
BetRivers🎯	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -9.74%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.44%E -5.97%K -80.53%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-22 18:00
Fliff🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -13.08%E -2.01%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.58%E -5.12%K -61.96%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-22 18:20
BetMGM🎯	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.42%E -2.63%K -3.13%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.11%E -1.87%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-22 17:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%	1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%	1.7%	2026-02-22 18:40