Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs v Samford Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chattanooga Mocs (Local)

Prediction 67.80%1.47fair odd

EV -3.73%

Edge -2.62%

Kelly -8.87%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.35%67.95%67.38%70.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.391.391.4273.53%72.01%71.94%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samford Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 32.20%3.11fair odd

EV +3.04%

Edge +0.951%

Kelly +1.38%

Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.98%32.05%32.62%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.942.883.2035.71%34.07%34.72%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chattanooga Mocs (Local): 67.80%; Samford Bulldogs (Visit): 32.20%. For Samford Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -7.12%E -5.19%K -19.23%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +3.04%E +0.951%K +1.38%G +0.042%	4.2%	2026-03-08 15:30
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.44%E -4.66%K -16.94%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.177%E -0.057%K -0.084%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-08 15:55
Fliff🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.79%E -5.73%K -21.65%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.01%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-08 15:29
Unibet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.63%K -12.70%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-08 14:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.08%E -3.63%K -12.70%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.26%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-08 14:34
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.44%E -4.66%K -16.94%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.23%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-08 14:34
FanDuel🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -5.08%E -3.63%K -12.70%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -9.19%E -3.26%K -5.05%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-08 15:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.73%E -2.62%K -8.87%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.84%E -3.51%K -5.47%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-08 15:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%	2.8%	2026-03-08 15:55