Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v Rice Owls

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

19%

81%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 19.14%5.22fair odd

EV -0.465%

Edge -0.089%

Kelly -0.111%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

17.98%19.14%19.28%20.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.755.015.055.2021.05%19.97%19.80%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 80.86%1.24fair odd

EV -2.97%

Edge -2.47%

Kelly -14.85%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.83%80.86%80.72%82.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.161.151.2087.72%86.08%86.58%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 19.14%; Rice Owls (Visit): 80.86%. For Charlotte 49ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.20, with an expected value of -0.465%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.465%E -0.089%K -0.111%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.01%E -6.10%K -46.75%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-03 20:15
Bally Bet🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.465%E -0.089%K -0.111%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.01%E -6.10%K -46.75%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-03 20:15
BetRivers🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -0.465%E -0.089%K -0.111%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.82%E -6.86%K -55.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-03 20:15
Fanatics🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.21%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.40%E -4.61%K -31.74%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-03 23:19
Fliff🎯	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.12%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.20%E -5.35%K -38.78%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-03 21:00
BetMGM🎯	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.08%E -1.91%K -2.42%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.97%E -2.47%K -14.85%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-03 21:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%	1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%	2.3%	2026-03-03 23:25