Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers v Florida Atlantic Owls

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte 49ers (Local)

Prediction 68.07%1.47fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -11.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%68.07%68.07%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.401.401.4072.46%71.68%71.43%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit)

Prediction 31.93%3.13fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.859%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%31.93%31.93%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.882.922.883.0534.72%34.22%34.72%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte 49ers (Local): 68.07%; Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit): 31.93%. For Florida Atlantic Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -2.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.62%E -0.859%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 16:58
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.70%E -3.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.05%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -6.06%E -4.39%K -15.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.05%E -2.79%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 69.66%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.34%8.8%2026-03-10 17:00