Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charleston Cougars v Stony Brook Seawolves

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 18:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charleston Cougars (Local)

Prediction 79.97%1.25fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -3.37%
Kelly -20.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.58%80.16%80.00%81.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.47%85.84%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit)

Prediction 20.03%4.99fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.425%
Kelly +0.529%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.27%19.84%20.00%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.874.905.1021.74%20.54%20.41%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charleston Cougars (Local): 79.97%; Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit): 20.03%. For Stony Brook Seawolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.84%E -7.75%K -63.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +2.17%E +0.425%K +0.529%G +0.011%7.3%2026-03-14 18:05
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.24%E -6.24%K -45.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.167%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.24%E -6.24%K -45.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.167%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.04%E -6.99%K -53.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.167%E +0.033%K +0.042%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.04%E -3.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.84%E -0.800%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 17:59
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.04%E -3.37%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.84%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 18:05
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.44%E -5.50%K -37.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.84%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.64%E -4.78%K -31.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.85%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%3.0%2026-03-14 18:05