The School of College Oddsodds.college
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California Golden Bears v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 79.87%1.25fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.46%
Kelly -20.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.78%79.76%80.15%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.201.2086.96%84.11%83.33%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 20.13%4.97fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.521%
Kelly +0.648%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.70%20.24%19.85%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.505.1023.81%21.79%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 79.87%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 20.13%. For Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.75%E -4.87%K -31.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +2.66%E +0.521%K +0.648%G +0.017%4.4%2026-03-04 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.15%E -7.09%K -54.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.646%E +0.129%K +0.161%G +0.001%7.0%2026-03-04 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.95%E -4.16%K -26.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -1.37%E -0.279%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.15%E -3.46%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.39%E -0.924%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 15:59
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.75%E -4.87%K -31.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -9.42%E -2.09%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 18:25
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.15%E -3.46%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.44%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -4.15%E -3.46%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -13.44%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -4.15%E -3.46%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -14.45%E -3.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.15%E -3.46%K -20.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -15.46%E -3.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.15I 86.96%NM 83.64%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.36%4.0%2026-03-04 18:20