Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

California Golden Bears (Local)

Prediction 62.78%1.59fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.36%62.86%62.73%64.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.531.5368.97%66.13%65.36%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 37.22%2.69fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%37.14%37.27%38.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.522.502.6441.15%39.74%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: California Golden Bears (Local): 62.78%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 37.22%. For Clemson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.22%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-27 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.08%E -1.99%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 02:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.94%E -2.78%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 00:54
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.55%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.95%E -2.58%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -9.55%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -1.73%E -0.655%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 22:58
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.21%E -3.45%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -9.55%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 23:10
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.46%E -4.34%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 02:45
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.98%E -6.19%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.47%E -0.944%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 00:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-02-27 02:50
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%8.6%2026-02-27 00:54