Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars v Portland Pilots

Kickoff: 2026-11-06 02:03 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BYU Cougars (Local)

Prediction 88.58%1.13fair odd

EV -4.33%

Edge -4.01%

Kelly -54.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.62%88.58%88.58%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.061.061.0895.24%93.98%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Pilots (Visit)

Prediction 11.42%8.76fair odd

EV +2.74%

Edge +0.304%

Kelly +0.342%

Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.45%11.42%11.42%12.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.508.308.009.0013.33%12.05%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BYU Cougars (Local): 88.58%; Portland Pilots (Visit): 11.42%. For Portland Pilots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.76. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
William Hill🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.99%E -6.65%K -139.72%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.74%E +0.304%K +0.342%G +0.009%	6.3%	2026-11-06 01:58
BetMGM🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.99%E -6.65%K -139.72%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.74%E +0.304%K +0.342%G +0.009%	6.3%	2026-11-06 02:00
Unibet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.33%E -4.01%K -54.11%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.68%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-06 02:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.33%E -4.01%K -54.11%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.68%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-06 02:00
BetRivers🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -6.10%E -5.76%K -101.67%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -14.38%E -1.92%K -2.21%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-06 02:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.56%	9.09I 11.00%NM 10.44%	5.3%	2026-11-06 02:00