Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles v Providence Friars

Kickoff: 2026-11-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Boston College Eagles 75–73 Providence Friars

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston College Eagles (Local)

Prediction 55.34%1.81fair odd

EV -5.37%

Edge -3.14%

Kelly -7.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.67%56.81%55.34%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.531.671.711.7165.36%59.76%58.65%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Friars (Visit)

Prediction 44.66%2.24fair odd

EV +9.42%

Edge +3.85%

Kelly +6.50%

Growth +0.613%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.44%43.19%44.66%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.152.092.4548.78%46.58%47.73%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston College Eagles (Local): 55.34%; Providence Friars (Visit): 44.66%. For Providence Friars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -15.33%E -10.02%K -28.93%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +9.42%E +3.85%K +6.50%G +0.613%	6.2%	2026-11-14 16:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.64%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-14 16:40
FanDuel🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.03%E -4.19%K -10.34%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.64%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-14 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.65%E -3.18%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.37%E -3.14%K -7.57%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.65%E -3.18%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 15:30
William Hill🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-14 16:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%	2.2%	2026-11-14 16:45
Novig◎	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.07%	7.7%	2026-11-14 16:55

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