Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins v Southern Illinois Salukis

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins (Local)

Prediction 92.10%1.09fair odd

EV -5.14%

Edge -4.99%

Kelly -171.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

92.10%92.10%92.10%93.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.021.011.0399.01%98.36%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit)

Prediction 7.90%12.65fair odd

EV +10.67%

Edge +0.762%

Kelly +0.821%

Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 14.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

6.73%7.90%7.90%7.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

12.0013.3314.0014.008.33%7.50%7.14%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belmont Bruins (Local): 92.10%; Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit): 7.90%. For Southern Illinois Salukis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.98%E -6.91%K -698.39%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.67%E +0.762%K +0.821%G +0.088%	6.2%	2026-03-03 00:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.98%E -6.91%K -698.39%G +0.000%	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.67%E +0.762%K +0.821%G +0.088%	6.2%	2026-03-03 00:30
Fanatics🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.14%E -4.99%K -171.40%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -5.14%E -0.428%K -0.467%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-03 00:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.