Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins v South Florida Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-11-07 01:30 UTC

Final: Belmont Bruins 66–69 South Florida Bulls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins (Local)

Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd

EV -5.56%

Edge -2.18%

Kelly -3.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.04%37.04%37.04%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.552.552.552.5539.22%39.22%39.22%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

South Florida Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 62.96%1.59fair odd

EV -5.56%

Edge -3.70%

Kelly -11.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.96%62.96%62.96%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.501.501.5066.67%66.67%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belmont Bruins (Local): 37.04%; South Florida Bulls (Visit): 62.96%. For Belmont Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -5.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.56%E -2.18%K -3.58%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.56%E -3.70%K -11.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 01:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%	0.9%	2026-11-07 01:25

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