Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins v Evansville Purple Aces

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

88%

12%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Belmont Bruins (Local)

Prediction 88.04%1.14fair odd

EV -4.92%

Edge -4.56%

Kelly -61.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.51%88.04%87.87%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.071.071.071.0893.46%93.28%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Evansville Purple Aces (Visit)

Prediction 11.96%8.36fair odd

EV +1.69%

Edge +0.199%

Kelly +0.225%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

11.27%11.96%12.13%12.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.507.757.508.5013.33%12.90%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belmont Bruins (Local): 88.04%; Evansville Purple Aces (Visit): 11.96%. For Evansville Purple Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.92%E -4.56%K -61.51%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.69%E +0.199%K +0.225%G +0.004%	4.4%	2026-03-13 22:59
BetMGM🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.80%E -5.42%K -82.87%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -7.28%E -0.940%K -1.08%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-13 23:00
BetRivers🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.80%E -5.42%K -82.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 23:00
Unibet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.80%E -5.42%K -82.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 23:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.80%E -5.42%K -82.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 22:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%	2.3%	2026-03-13 23:00