Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears v Nebraska Cornhuskers

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baylor Bears (Local)

Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV +0.199%
Edge +0.093%
Kelly +0.175%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.79%46.95%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.002.1451.28%49.50%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.44%53.21%53.05%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.771.8557.47%55.99%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baylor Bears (Local): 46.82%; Nebraska Cornhuskers (Visit): 53.18%. For Baylor Bears (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.136. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.140, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.199%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.199%E +0.093%K +0.175%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 18:25
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.67%E -0.797%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 17:27
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 12:54
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:10
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 18:44
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.47%E -4.29%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.23%E -4.20%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.62%E -0.876%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.34%E -3.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%4.9%2026-03-20 16:25