The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ball State Cardinals v Toledo Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ball State Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 73.08%1.37fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -8.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%73.08%74.34%74.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.301.331.3379.37%76.80%75.19%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toledo Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 26.92%3.72fair odd
EV -0.405%
Edge -0.109%
Kelly -0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%26.92%25.66%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.203.7031.75%29.59%31.25%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ball State Cardinals (Local): 73.08%; Toledo Rockets (Visit): 26.92%. For Toledo Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.405%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.80%E -2.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.80%E -2.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -2.80%E -2.11%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -15.21%E -4.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 15:55
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.92%E -6.28%K -30.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.405%E -0.109%K -0.150%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.92%E -6.28%K -30.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -1.75%E -0.480%K -0.661%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 16:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-13 15:55