The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Auburn Tigers v Kentucky Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 8.85%11.30fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.262%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%8.87%8.86%9.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.2010.6910.7511.009.80%9.36%9.30%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kentucky Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 91.15%1.10fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -56.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.83%91.13%91.14%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.031.0698.04%96.26%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 8.85%; Kentucky Wildcats (Visit): 91.15%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 11.00, with an expected value of -2.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -2.62%E -0.238%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.38%E -3.19%K -56.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 22:54
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.62%E -0.238%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 20:54
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.62%E -0.238%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:00
Fanatics🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.98%EV -4.83%E -0.449%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.02%EV -3.38%E -3.19%K -56.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 23:04
Fliff🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67%EV -4.83%E -0.449%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.33%EV -7.03%E -6.89%K -351.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 23:50
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.04%E -0.671%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -203.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 23:04
BetRivers🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.04%E -0.671%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -203.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 23:05
Bally Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -7.04%E -0.671%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -203.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 23:05
FanDuel🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.17%EV -9.70%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.83%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -203.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-02-26 23:44
Novig◎10.75I 9.30%NM 8.51%1.00I 100.00%NM 91.49%9.3%2026-02-26 23:05