Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers v Georgia Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-02-24 00:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

29%

71%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auburn Tigers (Local)

Prediction 29.24%3.42fair odd

EV -0.598%

Edge -0.176%

Kelly -0.249%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.81%29.53%29.28%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.883.123.203.4034.72%32.05%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 70.76%1.41fair odd

EV -0.930%

Edge -0.664%

Kelly -2.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.44%70.47%70.72%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.351.351.4076.34%73.89%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auburn Tigers (Local): 29.24%; Georgia Bulldogs (Visit): 70.76%. For Auburn Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.598%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.598%E -0.176%K -0.249%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.30%E -5.57%K -23.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-24 00:30
DraftKings🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.52%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.47%E -3.31%K -12.77%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-02-24 00:30
BetMGM🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.98%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.47%E -3.31%K -12.77%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-02-24 00:29
theScore Bet🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.88%E -4.42%K -17.83%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-02-24 00:30
FanDuel🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.45%E -2.01%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-24 00:30
Fliff🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.83%E -3.55%K -5.28%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.18%E -3.86%K -15.22%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-24 00:30
Unibet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.22%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.930%E -0.664%K -2.33%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-24 00:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.22%E -5.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.930%E -0.664%K -2.33%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-24 00:30
BetRivers🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -15.80%E -5.49%K -8.40%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -2.35%E -1.70%K -6.17%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-02-24 00:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%	1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%	2.2%	2026-02-24 00:30
Novig◎	3.22I 31.06%NM 28.60%	1.29I 77.52%NM 71.40%	8.6%	2026-02-24 00:29