Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans v Missouri Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-11-07 01:00 UTC

Final: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans 50–73 Missouri Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

16%

84%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local)

Prediction 16.42%6.09fair odd

EV +14.97%

Edge +2.14%

Kelly +2.50%

Growth +0.374%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.37%16.42%16.42%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.756.386.387.0017.39%15.69%15.69%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Missouri Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 83.58%1.20fair odd

EV -5.56%

Edge -4.92%

Kelly -42.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

83.58%83.58%83.58%86.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.50%90.50%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local): 16.42%; Missouri Tigers (Visit): 83.58%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
William Hill🎯	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +14.97%E +2.14%K +2.50%G +0.374%	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -9.74%E -9.02%K -121.73%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-07 00:55
BetMGM🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.56%E -0.967%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.56%E -4.92%K -42.77%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-07 00:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%	0.7%	2026-11-07 00:55

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