Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats v Stanford Cardinal

Kickoff: 2026-11-02 18:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

36%

64%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 36.15%2.77fair odd

EV +1.23%

Edge +0.438%

Kelly +0.681%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.12%36.33%37.03%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.572.512.8041.67%38.89%39.84%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stanford Cardinal (Visit)

Prediction 63.85%1.57fair odd

EV -1.67%

Edge -1.09%

Kelly -3.10%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.91%63.67%62.97%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.491.481.5468.97%67.28%67.34%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 36.15%; Stanford Cardinal (Visit): 63.85%. For Arizona Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +1.23%E +0.438%K +0.681%G +0.008%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.78%E -4.65%K -14.74%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-02 17:00
Caesars🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.23%E +0.438%K +0.681%G +0.008%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.42%E -5.12%K -16.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-02 18:33
Unibet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-02 18:35
FanDuel🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -8.90%E -3.53%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.84%EV -4.87%E -3.27%K -9.93%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-02 18:30
William Hill🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.23%E -2.82%K -8.46%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-02 18:19
Bally Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.51%E -3.72%K -11.47%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-11-02 18:35
BetRivers🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.62%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.14%E -4.18%K -13.07%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-02 18:35
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -13.23%E -5.51%K -9.45%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.67%E -1.09%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-02 18:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%	5.9%	2026-11-02 18:35
Novig◎	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%	1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%	10.6%	2026-11-02 18:35