The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Arizona Wildcats v Houston Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 78.01%1.28fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -13.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.08%77.70%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.201.201.2484.75%83.03%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 21.99%4.55fair odd
EV +4.46%
Edge +0.939%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.92%22.30%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.504.7525.00%22.78%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Wildcats (Local): 78.01%; Houston Cougars (Visit): 21.99%. For Houston Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.46%E +0.939%K +1.19%G +0.053%4.4%2026-02-24 17:25
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.17%E -6.03%K -37.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.04%E -0.231%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 21:59
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.17%E -6.03%K -37.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.04%E -0.231%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-24 21:59
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.95%E -6.74%K -44.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.04%E -0.231%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.95%E -6.74%K -44.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.04%E -0.231%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.27%E -2.64%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.44%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-24 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.27%E -2.64%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.54%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.39%E -5.32%K -31.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.64%E -1.82%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-24 22:14
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.83%E -3.96%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.03%E -3.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-02-25 00:55
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 80.61%4.24I 23.58%NM 19.39%21.6%2026-02-24 22:15