Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 64.64%; BYU Cougars (Visit): 35.36%. For BYU Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.985%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.10%E -0.722%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.59%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.04%E -2.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.29%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.69%E -2.48%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-25 19:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.985%E -0.352%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.28%E -4.33%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 20:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.57%E -5.29%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.52%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.51%E -6.79%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.985%E -0.352%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.51%E -6.79%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.985%E -0.352%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 21:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.51%E -6.79%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.985%E -0.352%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-25 21:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-02-26 01:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.76% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.24% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 21:30 |