The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Arizona St Sun Devils v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-04 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona St Sun Devils (Local)

Prediction 73.44%1.36fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -12.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%73.30%73.65%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.291.291.3178.74%77.70%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 26.56%3.76fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.466%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.70%26.35%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.553.553.7030.30%28.17%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona St Sun Devils (Local): 73.44%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 26.56%. For Arizona Wildcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.79%E -2.90%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.38%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:59
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.53%E -3.48%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.05%E -0.837%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.53%E -3.48%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.69%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.53%E -3.48%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.35%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.26%E -4.08%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 16:34
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.26%E -4.08%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.73%E -0.466%K -0.639%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.73%E -5.30%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:05
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.73%E -5.30%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.73%E -5.30%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.71%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 19:05
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.73%E -5.30%K -24.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.04%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-04 22:45
Novig◎1.00I 100.00%NM 77.27%3.40I 29.41%NM 22.73%29.4%2026-03-04 21:10