The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alabama Crimson Tide v Rhode Island Rams

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alabama Crimson Tide (Local)

Prediction 80.30%1.25fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.15%80.08%80.40%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.181.181.2385.47%84.39%84.75%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhode Island Rams (Visit)

Prediction 19.70%5.08fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.378%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%19.92%19.60%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.814.855.0022.73%20.79%20.62%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alabama Crimson Tide (Local): 80.30%; Rhode Island Rams (Visit): 19.70%. For Alabama Crimson Tide (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.23, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -1.23%E -0.998%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -13.33%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.64%E -3.03%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -4.44%E -3.73%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -2.50%E -0.505%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:39
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.51%E -0.303%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 13:44
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.51%E -0.303%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 13:44
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.51%E -0.303%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 12:29
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.24%E -4.44%K -29.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.48%E -0.711%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:39
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 08:40
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-03-21 17:20
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 80.13%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.87%5.8%2026-03-21 17:59