The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Mystics v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 40.13%2.49fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%40.13%40.13%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.362.382.4043.48%42.30%42.02%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 59.87%1.67fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -7.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%59.87%59.87%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6065.36%63.46%63.29%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 40.13%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 59.87%. For Washington Mystics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -3.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.41%E -3.42%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:15
SportsBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.08%E -1.71%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.61%E -4.24%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.81%E -3.03%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:18
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.48%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.40%E -5.49%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 20:14
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.69%E -2.42%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.21%E -2.63%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:14
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.69%E -3.34%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.01%E -3.83%K -10.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-24 03:05